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Investigators' Corner| Volume 56, ISSUE 6, P1357-1360, November 2017

Snug as a Bug: Goodness of Fit and Quality of Models

  • Daniel C. Jupiter
    Correspondence
    Address correspondence to: Daniel C. Jupiter, PhD, Department of Preventive Medicine and Community Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch, 301 University Boulevard, 1.134G Ewing Hall, Galveston, TX 77555-1150.
    Affiliations
    Associate Professor, Department of Preventive Medicine and Community Health, The University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX
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      Abstract

      In elucidating risk factors, or attempting to make predictions about the behavior of subjects in our biomedical studies, we often build statistical models. These models are meant to capture some aspect of reality, or some real-world process underlying the phenomena we are examining. However, no model is perfect, and it is thus important to have tools to assess how accurate models are. In this commentary, we delve into the various roles that our models can play. Then we introduce the notion of the goodness of fit of models and lay the ground work for further study of diagnostic tests for assessing both the fidelity of our models and the statistical assumptions underlying them.

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      References

        • Jupiter D.
        Investigators' corner: assumptions of statistical tests: what lies beneath.
        J Foot Ankle Surg. 2017; 56: 910-913
        • Jupiter D.
        Investigators' corner: logistic models—an odd(s) kind of regression.
        J Foot Ankle Surg. 2013; 52: 279-280
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        Last man standing—survival analysis.
        J Foot Ankle Surg. 2012; 51: 825-826
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        Investigators' corner: assessing diagnostic tests I: you can't be too sensitive.
        J Foot Ankle Surg. 2015; 54: 519-520
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        Investigators' corner: assessing diagnostic tests II: grading on a curve.
        J Foot Ankle Surg. 2015; 54: 765-766
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        Investigators' corner: random effects: variance is the spice of life.
        J Foot Ankle Surg. 2016; 55: 1343-1346
        • Jupiter D.
        Investigators' corner: mind your p values.
        J Foot Ankle Surg. 2013; 52: 138-139